The renowned Opta supercomputer has updated its predictions for Liverpool final standing this season after their 2-0 win against Burnley on Boxing Day.
Following Gameweek 19 in the Premier League, Liverpool now lead the pack post-Christmas, courtesy of West Ham United’s win over Arsenal and Liverpool’s earlier triumph at Turf Moor.
Heading into Gameweek 20, Liverpool are ahead of Arsenal by two points and aim to sustain their top position as they clash with Newcastle United on New Year’s Day.
Leading the league halfway through the 2023/24 season greatly enhances Liverpool title hopes. However, Opta suggests that Liverpool are the top contender.
Opta’s analysis favours the reigning champions, Manchester City, with a 55.1% likelihood of securing the Premier League title by season’s end.
Despite being behind Liverpool by five points currently, Manchester City have a pending match against Brentford.
Opta’s data suggests that despite their current leading position, Liverpool have a mere 27.3% probability of clinching the league title. In contrast, Arsenal chances have dwindled to just 15.3% after their recent loss. Aston Villa stand at a modest 1.9%, with Tottenham trailing at a mere 0.3%.
Opta’s analysis indicates that Liverpool are more likely to secure a second-place finish, with a 36.3% likelihood. Additionally, there’s a 24.4% probability of them settling for third place.
The statistical analysis by Opta underscores the unlikelihood of Liverpool dropping out of the top four, pegging the chances at a minimal 2.9%. Moreover, it’s statistically impossible for Liverpool to finish below the sixth spot.
Fortunately for Liverpool, they hold control over their fate at present. However, they are up against significant challenges in their quest for a second Premier League title.
This season, both Man City and Arsenal have displayed vulnerabilities. Jurgen Klopp’s team is poised to capitalize on these weaknesses when May arrives.