Why Liverpool Have Big Title Race Advantage Over Arsenal and Manchester City Despite Growing Injury Woes

Liverpool are aiming to clinch the Premier League title this season, with stiff competition from Manchester City and Arsenal. However, they appear to hold an advantage in the race.

Statistically, Liverpool enjoy the most favourable fixtures in the Premier League for the remainder of the season, contrasting with their rivals Arsenal and Manchester City.

Presently, the Reds lead the table after 25 games, with their destiny firmly within their control as they strive to secure the club’s 20th league title, notably in Jurgen Klopp’s final season at the helm.

In their recent match, Liverpool convincingly defeated Brentford 4-1 in London. Nevertheless, the victory was marred by injuries to key players including Curtis Jones, Diogo Jota, and Darwin Nunez.

Additionally, three other crucial starters from their strongest lineup – Alisson Becker, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Dominik Szoboszlai – are sidelined due to injuries.

Amid grappling with a mounting injury crisis, Klopp finds a silver lining in Liverpool’s upcoming league fixtures, which appear to be more favourable compared to those of Arsenal and Manchester City, according to statistics from SoccerSTATS.

The website analyzes the average points per game (PPG) of the teams Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester City are yet to face. Liverpool’s next opponent, Luton, have averaged 0.82 PPG away from home this season, as they prepare to clash at Merseyside midweek. Meanwhile, City, set to visit Anfield next month, have maintained an average of 2.08 PPG on the road.

When considering the overall average PPG of Liverpool’s remaining 13 opponents, it stands at 1.38. In comparison, Arsenal’s average is slightly higher at 1.42, while Manchester City faces the toughest opposition with an average of 1.52.

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Notably, City’s upcoming matches include visits to Anfield, a historically challenging venue for them, as well as matches against Tottenham, Arsenal, Manchester United, and Aston Villa at the Etihad.

Arsenal’s upcoming schedule includes an away match against City, along with matches against Brighton, Tottenham, and Man United away from home. At the Emirates, they will face Chelsea and Villa before May 19.

Meanwhile, Liverpool will host treble-winners City, with Spurs and Brighton also visiting Anfield. The Reds will have away fixtures against Everton, Man Utd, and Aston Villa before the season ends.

Liverpool are set to play seven of the current top 11 teams in the Premier League, while both Arsenal and City will face eight each. Klopp’s team will also face five of the current bottom six, whereas Arsenal and City will only take on three of the six relegation battlers.

Despite their challenging schedule, Klopp hopes for an improvement in his team’s injury situation. Joel Matip’s season has ended prematurely, and there are concerns about Thiago Alcantara’s future with the club. Additionally, Jota may be sidelined for an extended period due to a knee issue.

Liverpool are optimistic about the return of Alexander-Arnold and Szoboszlai in the upcoming weeks. However, similar to Jota, the extent of injuries to Alisson, Jones, and Nunez remains unclear. Ben Doak and Stefan Bajcetic continue to be sidelined for the long term, contributing to Liverpool’s current tally of nine injured first-team players.

Following their match against Luton, Klopp’s squad is gearing up for the Carabao Cup final showdown against Chelsea at Wembley this Sunday. Subsequently, they will resume FA Cup action against Southampton the following Wednesday.

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Liverpool’s 13 Remaining Premier League Fixtures

Weds 21st Feb: Luton (H)
Sat 2nd March: Nottingham Forest (A)
Sun 10th March: Man City (H)
Sun 17th March: Everton (A)
Sun 31st March: Brighton (H)
Weds 3rd April: Sheffield United (H)
Sat 6th April: Man United (H)*
Sat 13th April: Crystal Palace (H)*
Sat 20th April: Fulham (A)*
Sat 27th April: West Ham (A)*
Sat 4th May: Tottenham (H)*
Sat 11th May: Aston Villa (A)*
Sun 19th May: Wolves (H)

Man City’s 14 Remaining Premier League Fixtures

Tues 20th Feb: Brentford (H)
Sat 24th Feb: Bournemouth (A)
Sun 3rd March: Man United (H)
Sun 10th March: Liverpool (A)
Sun 17th March: Brighton (A)
Sun 31st March: Arsenal (H)
Weds 3rd April: Aston Villa (H)
Sat 6th April: Crystal Palace (A)*
Sat 13th April: Luton (H)*
Sat 20th April: Tottenham (A)*
Sat 27th April: Nottingham Forest (A)*
Sat 4th May: Wolves (H)*
Sat 11th May: Fulham (A)*
Sun 19th May: West Ham (H)

Arsenal’s 13 Remaining Premier League Fixtures

Sat 24th Feb: Newcastle (H)
Mon 4th March: Sheffield United (A)
Sat 9th March: Brentford (H)
Sat 16th March: Chelsea (H)
Sun 31st March: Man City (A)
Tues 2nd April: Luton (H)
Sat 6th April: Brighton (A)*
Sat 13th April: Aston Villa (H)*
Sat 20th April: Wolves (A)*
Sat 27th April: Tottenham (A)*
Sat 4th May: Bournemouth (H)*
Sat 11th May: Man United (A)*
Sun 19th May: Everton (H)

Note: Fixture dates subject to change

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